A white Christmas is still possible in the northern half with cold air of polar origin, but how will winter continue to develop – can winter weather even be expected in the south until January?

KThe question of a white Christmas remains difficult. However, on Christmas Eve the weather has cleared. Lots of clouds, few precipitation and mild temperatures from +4 to +8 degrees and in the west to +10 degrees hardly create a Christmas mood in terms of weather. Only north above it stays fresh at +1 to +4 degrees.

On Christmas Day, cold winds move from north to south and reach an almost line north of Cologne and Regensburg. The temperature drops from +0 to -4 degrees and it rains Ice Above. Further south it remains relatively mild. After the cold wind on Boxing Day Weather Forecast The Europeans pushed back slightly to the north, but remained after the Americans a line north of Cologne and Regensburg. Cold air is drier and so the sun can shine more often in the north and rainfall events are limited. Nevertheless, in some places up to 1 to 5 cm of fresh snow and locally up to 15 cm of fresh snow can come together in the northern half. white christmas party ensure, take care More about: Weather Christmas 2021.

What will the weather be like in January 2022?

Not only do the weather conditions at Christmas become difficult with the air mass limit on Germany, but with the extended one weather trends Depends on how the axis of the blockade on the Atlantic will behave. A also depends on Possible onset of winter in January 2022,

Weather forecast of the European weather model: winter gloom

Europeans are using their current Weather Forecast Under winter weather friends Disappointment can spread. what is fake comes to you worst case scenario Same.

A little retreat on Christmas which may be fully revealed by January. The axis of the blockade over the Atlantic is not dissolving, but is moving towards Europe and thus would be able to contribute to the development of unusual weather.

January weather dominated by high pressure

High changes over Germany on the New Year and move north towards Scandinavia. The Atlantic Frontal Zone is blocked and a westerly weather condition breakthrough cannot be expected. But the low pressure system literally moves against a wall and since the low pressure system turns counterclockwise and the high pressure system clockwise, the warm air is moving in from the southwest directions.

In addition, the high altitude is filled with warm air masses and a lot of sunshine, lowering the temperature on New Year’s Eve. January 1st Reach +6 to +12 degrees. He is far – far away – from developing a chilly season.

The US Weather Model’s weather forecast: That’s not how it works for winter

Weather Forecast American loves extremes lately. Once upon a time it surprises with an unusual mitigation, where in January temperatures up to +15 degrees cannot be ruled out and after less than 6 hours the temperature drops. hochwinter Presents.

These are not dubious calculations, these developments are possible and depend on development within the polar vortex. However, today’s forecast is again at its peak which is going in a lighter direction.

The axis of the blockade may not assert itself in January

The axis of the blockade over the Atlantic is weakening already at Christmas and makes a high above Greenland a high above the Kara Sea and thus a cross connection to the continental high. Another cross-connection over Canada will also be established by December 26. This means that the building blocks are falling one after the other.

closer to spring than winter

Unless January 1st A high-pressure axis is forming between Canada and Siberia, and anyone who has been our guest for a while knows that this relationship does not bode well for the winter in Europe. Why is easy to explain. The high pressure systems rotate clockwise and so the cold air masses are transferred to Canada and flow southwards from eastern Canada – toward Newfoundland – over the Atlantic, forming many of the low pressure systems of the Atlantic frontal region.

Since there is no blockade axis over the Atlantic, there is no longer a barrier to the Atlantic frontal region and so it dominates Scandinavia from 27 December to 1 January and gradually forms a low pressure channel that operates between Newfoundland and Scandinavia. Is. The Azores turns into high passivity and can be moved eastward from the Atlantic frontal region.

Unless January 3 Regionalization may develop in the southwest, with Germany, Austria and Switzerland temporarily affected by low pressure systems, but may also be affected by high pressure areas. capacity of strong wind events such as hurricanes At the moment this cannot be ruled out, but the wind comes from the south-west direction and is with us The temperature is anything from +8 to +12 degrees and locally +15 degrees but winter In the mind And yes, there they are again, mild spring temperatures in early January!

In short: hop or top

The polar vortex lasts until the new year bombing High pressure inserts, which still have the potential for winter weather conditions. Regionalization cannot be implemented quickly. But what — from a winter perspective — is cause for concern is that both forecast models are shifting higher toward Europe.

What line of concern The fact is that the control has eased significantly in the last 24 hours and the possible entry of cold air north is limited to a period of 48 hours. In the following, the control’s temperature trend knows only one direction and that is clearly too mild for the time of year.

At an altitude of 1,400 m, the average value of the control run reached a value of +3 to +5 degrees on New Year’s Eve and from +2 to +4 degrees on January 5. -5 to -7 degree for lowland winters and -4 to -6 degree for middle places for winter season. This outlines how far the control is from the winter season.

Not winter in January?

Since this – a similar – and apparently mild weather trend is only 12 hours old and winter forms have been preferred over the past few days, this radical mitigation is to be evaluated with skepticism, but more carefully. In other words, there is what in the bushThat winter friends should not like it, but die is not cast yet.

As we always like to say – first an event has to happen, then you look ahead. In this case, what the blockade axis on the Atlantic means and how it was interpreted during the day, we will explain in a new way this evening at about 8:15 pm. Weather Forecast Weather for winter 2021/2022.